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Crude Oil Pushes Into Expectations Beautifully

Writer's picture: Anthony SpecialeAnthony Speciale
Speciale Analysis

Hey Trader,


Finding Strength and Success Through Humility and Faith


I hope this email finds you well and in good spirits.


As we navigate the often unpredictable world of trading, it's easy to become overwhelmed by market fluctuations and personal expectations.


During such times, grounding ourselves in humility and faith can provide immense strength and clarity.


Today, I want to share a powerful verse that can inspire and guide us on this journey:


"If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land." 2 Chronicles 7:14


This verse serves as a profound reminder of the importance of humility, prayer, and seeking a higher purpose.


As retail traders, we can draw valuable lessons from this message.


By approaching our trading with humility, acknowledging our need for continual learning, and seeking guidance beyond ourselves, we can navigate challenges more effectively.


Incorporating prayer and reflection into our routine can help us remain focused and resilient.


When we humble ourselves and seek wisdom, we open ourselves to growth and improvement, both personally and professionally.


Moreover, by turning away from unproductive habits and attitudes, we align ourselves with a path that leads to healing and success.


Let this verse inspire you to approach each trading day with a humble heart and a clear mind.


Remember, true strength comes from acknowledging our limitations and seeking guidance to overcome them.


Your dedication and integrity will pave the way for success and fulfillment. Wishing you a profitable and purposeful trading week ahead!


Be Relentless In Pursuit Of The Will 

Which God Has Set Upon Your Heart,

Anthony Speciale



Crude Oil Pushes Into Expectations Beautifully


As always, my goal is to share the insights behind my trades, giving you a window into my approach to the market. Understanding the market can be daunting, especially when trying to make sense of its movements. That’s where my analysis comes in – to help you gain clarity and build your own successful trading strategy.



The service I provide centers around three core principles: analysis, interpretation, and expectation. By dissecting market data, interpreting its implications, and setting realistic expectations, I aim to equip you with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. However, it's crucial to remember that trading always involves risk. My role is not to tell you how to trade but to offer a framework you can use to develop your own strategies.


A Real-Time Example


Let me walk you through a specific trade scenario from this morning to illustrate my approach. I started my day early, around 6:30-7:00 AM, to observe market trends and gauge the interplay between buyers and sellers. The market was initially selling off, with prices riding the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) downward.


Chart Analysis

I noticed a significant push lower and was waiting for a retracement into the bodies of a previous consolidation phase. This setup materialized, and I was particularly interested in a high-volume selling candle that had no follow-through. This indicated a potential pullback to the initial fall zone, presenting a low-risk entry opportunity.


Real-Time Decision Making


As the market approached the retracement area, I marked it on my chart and shared my observations live. Around 7:25-7:30 AM, I went on the mic to inform my audience of my expectations: if the price held in this area and failed to push through, it would likely fall into the .75-.80 range. If it broke this range, I anticipated a further drop to the .55-.30 range.


True to my analysis, the price hit the .75-.80 range, touching a low of 65 before reversing. Despite the initial dive, we didn’t see further decline beyond the expected range.


Managing Risk and Reward


The risk in this scenario was clearly defined. Entering a short position around the marked area, I set a risk threshold of about 10 ticks, aiming for an initial target of .80 (yielding 28 ticks) and a secondary target of .75 (yielding 33 ticks). This setup offered a risk-reward ratio of roughly 3:1. Upon hitting the target, I advocated for taking profit and protecting the position by adjusting stop losses.


Testimonial

The Reality of Trading


Trading is inherently uncertain, with no guarantees. Every decision is based on probability. The key to success lies in having an edge, a well-defined risk management plan, and the ability to employ this edge consistently. It's not about copying trades but developing a system that fits your style and enhances your market edge.


Embrace the Learning Journey


I've been trading for over 13 years, and through experience, I’ve learned that trading is a business of probability. With a solid edge and disciplined risk management, you can tip the odds in your favor. My goal is to teach you to recognize patterns, interpret market signals, and set realistic expectations, enabling you to place high-confidence trades.


If my approach resonates with you, I invite you to join me for an in-depth exploration of trading strategies and market analysis. Click the link below to learn more . . .



Let’s navigate the complexities of the market together and turn challenges into profitable opportunities. Feel free to reach out with any questions or comments – I’m here to help you on your trading journey.


Happy Trading,

Speciale Analysis

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