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A Sustainable Move -OR- An Emotional Reaction?

Writer: Anthony SpecialeAnthony Speciale
Jun 13, 20243 min read
Speciale Analysis

Hey Trader,


A Sustainable Move -OR- An Emotional Reaction?


Hello, traders! I’m Anthony Speciale from Hawkeye Traders, and today, I want to share some crucial insights about incorporating volume analysis into your trading strategy, especially when dealing with significant economic news releases.


This is a vital aspect of trading that can elevate your understanding of market movements and enhance your trading decisions.


chart

The Importance of Volume Analysis


Volume is a critical indicator that provides insights into the market's strength and potential direction.


Unlike price action alone or traditional lagging indicators, volume reveals the underlying sentiment and participation level of traders in the market.


Recognizing this can help you make more informed trading decisions and avoid potential pitfalls.


Real-Time Analysis: The S&P 500 Case Study


Let’s dive into an example using the S&P 500.


On a typical trading day, economic news releases, often scheduled at 8:30 AM EST, can significantly impact market movements.


As a pre-market trader, I usually start around 7 or 8 in the morning and sometimes trade until noon.


Some days, I'm done even before finishing my first cup of coffee, while other days require more patience.



On a recent trading day, the S&P 500 chart, set to three-minute candles, showed an aggressive push higher at the 8:30 AM candle.


This surge was accompanied by ultra-high buying volume but failed to sustain beyond the initial spike.


This failure indicated a high level of emotion-driven trading, often seen during economic data releases.


I marked the high and low of this candle and observed the market's behavior.


Despite the strong initial buying, the market eventually fell below the candle's low, signaling a shift in control from buyers to sellers.


This downward move continued, creating new lows for the session.


Recognizing Key Indicators



Our wide bars, marked in magenta, represent candles with volume exceeding a certain threshold, indicating heightened trader activity and emotional responses.



For example, after the initial spike and subsequent decline, neutral volume followed, suggesting the absence of continued buying interest.


The market then broke the low of the initial candle, retested, and continued downward, offering substantial trading opportunities.



Understanding where and when emotion occurs in the market can be incredibly powerful.


By recognizing high volume areas and the subsequent control shift between buyers and sellers, you can make more calculated trading decisions.


This approach is not limited to intraday trading; it applies to day trading, swing trading, and position trading across various markets, including stocks, futures, forex, and cryptocurrencies.


Our indicators are compatible with platforms like TradingView, TradeStation, NinjaTrader, and MetaTrader, making it accessible for all retail traders.



Incorporating volume analysis into your trading strategy can significantly enhance your market understanding and trading success.


By focusing on the interaction between volume and price action, you can gain a clearer picture of market dynamics and improve your trading outcomes.


Thank you for joining me in this deep dive into volume analysis. Stay disciplined, patient, and always keep learning.


I look forward to sharing more insights with you in the next video. God Bless!



Happy Trading,

Anthony Speciale

Speciale Analysis



Anthony and Anna Speciale

About the Author:

Anthony Speciale is a seasoned market analyst with over 13 years of experience trading. Through his platform, Speciale Analysis, he offers in-depth market analysis, interpretation, and expectations designed to help all types of traders, at every skill levels reach their full potential.



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